930 Forums
=> GENERAL DISCUSSION => Topic started by: hutch on November 03, 2016, 08:08:49 pm
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Exactly what it says on the tin.. go.
the winner will receive a free CD signed (and dedicated if you'd like) by yours truly....in addition to the grand prize: a free concert ticket to a 930 show (no echo stage, lincoln, U St hall or DAR just 930) of your choice ($50 and under face value [don't worry about ticket charges])... Note the ticket prize is contingent on there being at least 8 participants including myself.... I think it may be hard to get 8 people to play but if its just a few the way I see it nobody deserves a free ticket.
Needless to say the winner will also cement his or her status as potential Boardie of the Year...
there are five components to the contest.. each will be weighted equally....20 points each...
1. Pick who wins each state and DC..
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Trump, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
4. Pick the electoral vote
5. Pick the President
The winner will have bragging rights for the next 4 years.
Note I am still working on my formula calculate the winner....because math is hard for me if somebody wants to come up with the formula I would appreciate it..
Entries due by midnight EST Monday night....they can be sent to my email and I can post them at Tuesday morning..but they have to be received by midnight.... I will send my own entry by midnight and not read other entries in order not to have an unfair advantage..
I really have no clue what is going to happen at this point.. there are wildly divergent scenarios seemingly in play...
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Hillary.
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here goes,
hutch posts too much and starts too many threads.
this, on the tin shit has got to stop. it was dumb, back then . . . it is dumb now.
people are fucking tired of the election. so lets all agree to agree, to shut the fuck up about it, from this moment on.
the, end
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Walkie, you forgot to admonish him for his inappropriate use of the word "official" in every thread he creates as if it means something, otherwise, spot on.
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Forgot, one thing.
I , was not singling out hutch. I love hutch; he's awe,some. The exact same thing can be said, about Julian.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
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The exact same thing can be said, about Julian.
My account is 38 months old and I've created 86 (http://forum.930.com/index.php?action=profile;u=87112;sa=statPanel) topics during that time. That's ~2.25 topics a month or one every two weeks. Hardly a flood.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
I could see doing a set list of swing states but there's at least 30-35 states that are set in stone.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
Yeah, picking 51 things is like Kilsaly making a list of his favorite albums that came out in the past month.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
Yeah, picking 51 things is like Kilsaly making a list of his favorite albums that came out in the past month.
lol
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ok I had a brain wave last night.. 1 is rather superflous anyways so get rid of it..I'm also getting rid of 5.
so:
1. Pick the popular vote % totals for Trump, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
2. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
3. Pick the electoral vote for each candidate that you predict will get electoral votes
I still need a formula
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ok I had a brain wave last night.. 1 is rather superflous anyways so get rid of it..I'm also getting rid of 5.
so:
1. Pick the popular vote % totals for Trump, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
2. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
3. Pick the electoral vote for each candidate that you predict will get electoral votes
I still need a formula
Where shall we send our responses? I do not have your personal email address. Additionally, I'll buy your beers if I win.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
Yeah, picking 51 things is like Kilsaly making a list of his favorite albums that came out in the past month.
lol
that was pretty good...
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ok I had a brain wave last night.. 1 is rather superflous anyways so get rid of it..I'm also getting rid of 5.
so:
1. Pick the popular vote % totals for Trump, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
2. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
3. Pick the electoral vote for each candidate that you predict will get electoral votes
I still need a formula
Where shall we send our responses? I do not have your personal email address. Additionally, I'll buy your beers if I win.
through the 930 my messages
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
Yeah, picking 51 things is like Kilsaly making a list of his favorite albums that came out in the past month.
lol
that was pretty good...
Space brings the funny every couple thousand posts.
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1. Pick who wins each state and DC.. https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz (https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz)
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.5
DT 47.5
JS 1.0
GJ 3.0
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
128,600,000 (oops...)
4. Pick the electoral vote
Above
5. Pick the President
Above
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Wait, didn't like 50M or 60M people vote last time? I'm thinking you need to bump up your #3...
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Wait, didn't like 50M or 60M people vote last time?
Per candidate.
I assumed challenged left a number out.
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Remove #1 and I'll play.
Lemmie know hutch.
yeah..#1 makes it annoying
not picking 51 things
Yeah, picking 51 things is like Kilsaly making a list of his favorite albums that came out in the past month.
lol
that was pretty good...
Space brings the funny every couple thousand posts.
To be fair, he says something funny a few times per thousand posts. Maybe "every couple hundred posts" is closer to accurate.
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Wait, didn't like 50M or 60M people vote last time?
Per candidate.
I assumed challenged left a number out.
Oh true - 130M in 2012
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oh we got an entry! nice... so far challenged is the winner....with 12 million total votes he is closest...
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1. Pick who wins each state and DC.. https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz (https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz)
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.5
DT 47.5
JS 1.0
GJ 3.0
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
12,212,900
4. Pick the electoral vote
Above
5. Pick the President
Above
what site did you use to make that lil map there?
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1. Pick who wins each state and DC.. https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz (https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz)
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.5
DT 47.5
JS 1.0
GJ 3.0
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
12,212,900
4. Pick the electoral vote
Above
5. Pick the President
Above
what site did you use to make that lil map there?
realclearpolitics,
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1. Pick who wins each state and DC.. https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz (https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz)
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.5
DT 47.5
JS 1.0
GJ 3.0
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
12,212,900
4. Pick the electoral vote
Above
5. Pick the President
Above
what site did you use to make that lil map there?
realclearpolitics,
1. Pick who wins each state and DC.. https://www.instagram.com/p/BMg0aqZjQJI/?taken-by=jdginstagramz
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.5
DT 47.5
JS 1.0
GJ 3.0
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
128,600,000 (oops...)
4. Pick the electoral vote
Above
5. Pick the President
Above
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come on..somebody challenge challenged or he gets the signed CD!!!!!!!
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come on..somebody challenge challenged or he gets the signed CD!!!!!!!
Naa bruh, needs 8 participants....
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come on..somebody challenge challenged or he gets the signed CD!!!!!!!
Naa bruh, needs 8 participants....
ummm no.. the signed CD is automatic for the winner.. its the free concert ticket (up to $50!!! at the 930) that requires 7 contestants other than me!.. come on.. we need only SIX! who is going to step it up? at worst just say whatever the f@uck nate silver tells you to say!
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come on..somebody challenge challenged or he gets the signed CD!!!!!!!
Naa bruh, needs 8 participants....
ummm no.. the signed CD is automatic for the winner.. its the free concert ticket (up to $50!!! at the 930) that requires 7 contestants other than me!.. come on.. we need only SIX! who is going to step it up? at worst just say whatever the f@uck nate silver tells you to say!
Oh snapp. getting v excited.
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1. Pick who wins each state and DC.
RCP
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html?map=HI_1,AK_6,FL_3,NH_3,MI_7,VT_1,ME_1,ME1_3,ME2_7,RI_2,NY_1,PA_1,NJ_2,DE_2,MD_1,VA_2,WV_5,OH_7,IN_6,IL_2,CT_3,WI_3,NC_1,DC_1,MA_1,TN_6,AR_5,MO_6,GA_7,SC_7,KY_5,AL_5,LA_5,MS_5,IA_6,MN_3,OK_5,TX_6,NM_7,KS_6,NE_5,NE2_6,SD_6,ND_5,WY_5,MT_6,CO_3,ID_5,UT_6,AZ_7,NV_3,OR_3,WA_2,CA_1)
Ok...geeking out a little bit that I could make that map and not have to be in the situation room ;)
2. Pick the popular vote % totals for Drumpf, Hillary, Johnson and Stein...
HRC 48.8
DT 46.3
JS 1.5
GJ 2.7
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
132,800,001
4. Pick the electoral vote
RCP
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html?map=HI_1,AK_6,FL_3,NH_3,MI_7,VT_1,ME_1,ME1_3,ME2_7,RI_2,NY_1,PA_1,NJ_2,DE_2,MD_1,VA_2,WV_5,OH_7,IN_6,IL_2,CT_3,WI_3,NC_1,DC_1,MA_1,TN_6,AR_5,MO_6,GA_7,SC_7,KY_5,AL_5,LA_5,MS_5,IA_6,MN_3,OK_5,TX_6,NM_7,KS_6,NE_5,NE2_6,SD_6,ND_5,WY_5,MT_6,CO_3,ID_5,UT_6,AZ_7,NV_3,OR_3,WA_2,CA_1)same map as above just looking at different things
301 Clinton/Kaine
237 Trump/Pence
5. Pick the President
HRC
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[quote author=I'm with Hatch 🛠⛏|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|🗡⚔ link=topic=24503.msg454132#msg454132
4. Pick the electoral vote
Hill
[/quote]
we need a number for this...Challenged provided a map...you can do it at realclearpolitics.com
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While waiting to follow up my VP here in NH .. man is he a bore...I guess that is why they made me pick him....I wish I could have picked Christie but I knew he was going down over that silly bridge thing... When I'm President I'm going to pardon him and we're going to make "bridgegate" look like innocent fun believe me........DC has a lot of bridges from VA and I'm not digging the electoral vibe from that state...I hear one of them may soon be out of commission due to old age....anyways while waiting I sent myself my predictions....so count me in...
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1. Smackie's Pick for who wins each state and DC.. (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html?map=HI_1,AK_5,FL_1,NH_1,MI_1,VT_1,ME_1,ME1_1,ME2_1,RI_1,NY_1,PA_1,NJ_1,DE_1,MD_1,VA_1,WV_5,OH_5,IN_5,IL_1,CT_1,WI_1,NC_1,DC_1,MA_1,TN_5,AR_5,MO_5,GA_5,SC_5,KY_5,AL_5,LA_5,MS_5,IA_5,MN_1,OK_5,TX_5,NM_1,KS_5,NE_5,NE2_6,SD_5,ND_5,WY_5,MT_5,CO_1,ID_5,UT_5,AZ_5,NV_1,OR_1,WA_1,CA_1)
2. Pick the popular vote %:
Hillary 48.6%
Trump 44.9%
Johnson 4.5%
Stein 1%
Others 1%
3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote: 133,257,163
4. Pick the electoral vote: 323-215
5. Pick the President: Hillary Clinton
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ok copied from the email I sent at 9 pm
HRC 48.7
Trump 46.3
GJ 3.75
Stein 0.8
total votes: 135 million
initial attempt and maybe final 9 pm
hillary wins with 307
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html?map=HI_1,AK_6,FL_3,NH_3,MI_2,VT_1,ME_1,ME1_3,ME2_7,RI_1,NY_1,PA_2,NJ_1,DE_1,MD_1,VA_2,WV_5,OH_7,IN_6,IL_1,CT_1,WI_1,NC_7,DC_1,MA_1,TN_5,AR_5,MO_6,GA_6,SC_5,KY_5,AL_5,LA_5,MS_5,IA_7,MN_1,OK_5,TX_6,NM_2,KS_5,NE_5,NE2_6,SD_5,ND_5,WY_5,MT_5,CO_2,ID_5,UT_6,AZ_6,NV_3,OR_1,WA_1,CA_1
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^Please disregard those insane predictions.. Kellyanne Conway hijacked my 930 Forum account....
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^Please disregard those insane predictions.. Kellyanne Conway hijacked my 930 Forum account....
Once this is all said and done, win or lose, you need to get her into a rehab program.
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Two words today: PICK FLICK!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6u3GAQgZpww
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Two words today: PICK FLICK!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6u3GAQgZpww
There's one more thing about Tracy....
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538 wouldn't resolve...appears to contain a leak?!? Some sort of firewall issue, I guess.
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538 wouldn't resolve...appears to contain a leak?!? Some sort of firewall issue, I guess.
?? 538 is coming up fine for me.
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538 wouldn't resolve...appears to contain a leak?!? Some sort of firewall issue, I guess.
?? 538 is coming up fine for me.
maybe because the site is http://fivethirtyeight.com/ and not 538.com
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Yeah, I was using 538 as shorthand in this post. Whatever the issue, it has gone away.
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https://twitter.com/joshmbarn/status/796028474171555840
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https://twitter.com/joshmbarn/status/796028474171555840
"You're gonna lose!"
Classic.
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https://twitter.com/joshmbarn/status/796028474171555840
"You're gonna lose!"
Classic.
only if I lose...bua hahahhahahah
and I ain't planning on "losing".. there will be no concession tonight from me.. one way or the other...
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3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
128,600,000
128,843,000 (http://www.electproject.org/2016g)...still an estimate of course
you almost nailed it Challenged
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the prize has been vacated due to incredibly shoddy predictions
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3. Pick the number of Americans that will vote (turnout number not percentage)
128,600,000
128,843,000 (http://www.electproject.org/2016g)...still an estimate of course
you almost nailed it Challenged
Yaay Meeeee??!!
I feel the need to see a really good cathartic show tonight, is there one? will there be one?