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=> GENERAL DISCUSSION => Topic started by: Starsky on October 25, 2022, 08:19:23 pm

Title: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 25, 2022, 08:19:23 pm
Anyone feel reasonably confident about how it’s going to go? I think we are two weeks away ago, right? I got my theories

Here in Arlington I feel like Beyer will be re-elected until he dies so not much excitement…. Some Green Party candidate - Clement I think- has run for county Council like 20 times….am thinking of voting for her…of course she can’t win….people seem up in arms about some housing issue I know little about: mid level housing expansion I think…am sure there will be plenty of referenda on bonds for more spending and they will all pass…not sure what’s on the ballot statewide
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Space Freely on October 25, 2022, 08:23:30 pm
I'm fairly confident that it's going to go poorly for fans of Democracy.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 25, 2022, 08:35:10 pm
Yeah I don’t think we’re all the house and it’s going to just be tons of committee hearings for the next two years

I think we’re gonna squeak by hold in the Senate and maybe a 51/52 lead
So pretty much sucks for the Democrats because they won’t get 60 in the senate and the house is just gonna be a clown show


I do sometimes hate voting in Arlington
It’s almost impossible for the Dems not to win
The middle-market housing thing does have some good points the wealthy don’t want it because it’ll need more housing density people having mother-daughter units and separate little houses in their backyard annoy the wealthy
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 25, 2022, 08:35:52 pm
It’s unbelievable what an asshole Fetterman is not to have dropped out long ago….
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 25, 2022, 08:37:15 pm
It’s unbelievable what an asshole Fetterman is not to have dropped out long ago….

UGG it’s a tough call I think everyone was very optimistic that he was going to be recovered

He was such a great candidate but it’s not looking good
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 25, 2022, 08:40:48 pm
It’s unbelievable what an asshole Fetterman is not to have dropped out long ago….

UGG it’s a tough call I think everyone was very optimistic that he was going to be recovered

He was such a great candidate but it’s not looking good

It wasn’t a tough call at all..he had a major stroke and was gaga….

But fuck the world it’s all about Fetterman getting a job…god forbid another democrat win the seat

You have been on the Fetterman worship train for years…tsk tsk…bad judgment
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 25, 2022, 09:51:50 pm
So what’s your take here
that regardless of the stroke fetterman is a bad Candidate


I didn’t watch the whole thing but I just went through 15 minutes with the clips

 he didn’t sound great I’m not gonna lie
but he didn’t sound horrible either (compared to Herschel Walker he sounded like a genius ) he wasn’t reading a Teleprompter he was only getting the questions via the prompter

I like fetterman  I actually think he’s the kind of Democrat we need


But being hobbled by stroke is a pretty hard blow

the problem was the primary had already happened

Isn’t this what happened to Tom cotton
the Democratic primaries happened and then the Democrat had a bow out Due to something fucked up he did and couldn’t replace him that late
So cotton won unopposed! For a fucking Senate seat !!!

Would that have happened here
I don’t know the answer that
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: kosmo vinyl on October 25, 2022, 10:05:12 pm
So basically what you are saying is because Fetterman now has a disability as a result of his stroke he’s no longer a valid candidate?  People with disabilities can serve in office and yes there need to more Dems that think like Fetterman
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Julian, Hyperpop SLUTFUCK on October 25, 2022, 10:07:16 pm
We need more large fat white guys who call Republicans Richie-Rich’s and as the only person in this community to be serving as a political appointee that oversees efforts to increase disabled individuals ability to fully participate in society, I deplore Starskys comments.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 25, 2022, 10:55:58 pm
Interesting
the independent senate candidate in PA has dropped out and endorsed fetterman  before the debate

https://twitter.com/everettstern1/status/1584976258693492736?s=46&t=YG8AvVP6HxjFJZe6b1vC8w

Although I think that was an optimistic 3%
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 12:39:13 am
So basically what you are saying is because Fetterman now has a disability as a result of his stroke he’s no longer a valid candidate?  People with disabilities can serve in office and yes there need to more Dems that think like Fetterman

It amuses me how whenever you interpret what I am saying you get it 100% wrong. It’s uncanny.


Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 12:51:16 am
Sideputz, what I am saying is since clearly all Fetterman cares about is himself even if by running he completely fucks over D chances in a key and (what was) very winnable race, well then, the guy is a piece of crap. Why take a chance that you may recover? Did it ever occur to him to care about how he was putting the Senate at risk? Did it ever occur to him the best thing might be to focus on his health? Running for senate in Pennsylvania ain’t easy! It’s no gimme! You got to be 100%!! Dude had a major stroke which is why he spent months off the campaign trail!

Also he looks like a hobo living in a van by the river.

And no I don’t know all the legal specifics about how he could have been replaced but surely having a guy who couldn’t campaign for MONTHS as he tried to recover from his stroke wasn’t exactly the best idea. Frankly, a write in candidate would even be better. Fetterman should have ended his candidacy.

Maybe Fetterman wins but it seems awfully risky and most selfish.

I use too many adverbs.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: kosmo vinyl on October 26, 2022, 06:57:54 am
Fetterman won every county in PA during the primary and makes a point to visit all parts of PA even the red parts. 

He won the primary without PAC money or major democrat party endorsements.  He has a straight forward no bs platform that is working for him.

But none of that matters he should have just jacked in all the hard work and let milquetoast suit wearing PAC supported Connor Lamb  carry on, who tbh is just the same as Oz except for the D behind his name. 
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 26, 2022, 07:17:19 am
Forgot about conor lamb!
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 07:49:29 am
Well yeah a major stroke tends to change life plans…..

But hey hopefully it works out and he gets elected
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Space Freely on October 26, 2022, 08:26:28 am
To be fair, Ted Cruz also looks like a hobo living in a van by the river too.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 09:21:13 am
Yes but the look works for them but it’s just not us…. Don’t ask me why. Kind of like lying and fucking up the economy works for them but not us.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 09:22:33 am
To be fair, Ted Cruz also looks like a hobo living in a van by the river too.

Did you see that video of him being cursed out by the Yankees faithful? Brutal (and very enjoyable)!
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 26, 2022, 09:32:45 am
that one response to Fracking...damn that was bad
not as bad as Oz saying 'my eagles' and singing a little bit, but close


I get razzed on for following polls, but is the new thing this
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 09:38:18 am
If Fetterman insisted on staying in he should have never agreed to a debate. It would have hurt him less and he might have pulled off the win. I will be shocked if he wins. I sure hope he does.

I have to admit it’s rather brave of him but in a run through the streets naked sort of way.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Julian, Hyperpop SLUTFUCK on October 26, 2022, 09:40:39 am
I get razzed on for following polls, but is the new thing this
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022
PredictIt is not a poll and its userbase skews Republican.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 26, 2022, 09:42:06 am
I get razzed on for following polls, but is the new thing this
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022
PredictIt is not a poll and its userbase skews Republican.
I know that
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 26, 2022, 09:44:14 am
If Fetterman insisted on staying in he should have never agreed to a debate. It would have hurt him less and he might have pulled off the win. I will be shocked if he wins. I sure hope he does.
Since when does the electorate actually watch senate debates
I guarantee zero undecided voters did
Only cavet is all the clips get out there like they didn't in the past, so it's easy to get bombarded with really bad clips...like that fracking one

I predict he will pull this out, are we making bets?
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Starsky on October 26, 2022, 09:47:23 am
A candidate not being fit for office is an issue. Rightly or wrongly most people see public speaking as part of the job.

On the other hand, Trump was elected president….

Sure, next week we can get our crystal balls out of the closet.
Title: Re: Midterm Elections predictions
Post by: Insanity-Hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on October 26, 2022, 11:16:08 am
I need to set the record straight; I often say Cotton ran unopposed...it is just that a democrat didn't run against him in 2020 (guy droped out 2 hours after the dead line https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2019/nov/12/josh-mahony-drops-out-us-senate-race/)

but there was an independent who actually got 400k votes (to cottons 800k)

Tom Cotton (R)                     66.5    793,871
Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (L) 33.5    399,390


but doesn't really matter, looked at polling for dems in AK and AR this round ...both have 1 in 100 chance (and that's optimistic) of wining
D might as well just stand for devil in the south