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=> GENERAL DISCUSSION => Topic started by: hutch on March 25, 2020, 07:01:16 am

Title: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on March 25, 2020, 07:01:16 am
Given the lack of sports “glad” to see this competition has not been shut down

Current board as of March 25 looks like the following


Maryland leads with 349
Virginia , which was ahead, has fallen behind and finds itself at 290
DC trails far behind with 183
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on March 25, 2020, 11:17:28 pm
A great day for VA which made up most of its deficit!!

Current standings
MD 425
VA. 397
DC. 231

On the side competition (really about bragging - no trophy-rights though)

VA 9
MD 4
DC 3

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on March 25, 2020, 11:51:26 pm
Dude. What the hell are you talking about? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on March 26, 2020, 12:49:14 am
Stick to Michigan sports...
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on March 27, 2020, 08:33:36 am
Updated results from the Corona Cup


MD 583
VA 468
DC 267

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on March 27, 2020, 08:56:21 am
This thread makes me queezy.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on March 29, 2020, 10:35:33 pm
US deaths on Saturday: 525
US deaths on Sunday: 264

What are the odds of death rate being cut in half from one day to the next?

Number of new US cases also went from 19.4K to 18.4K Saturday vs. Sunday.

Italy also has gone from 919 deaths Friday to 899 Saturday (I could be slightly off on those) to 756 Sunday.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: grateful on March 29, 2020, 11:05:54 pm
Some people don't work on the weekends. Counts will spike on Monday and Tuesday.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on March 30, 2020, 08:18:46 am
Who do we believe?

Dr. Fauci forecasts that loss of American life could be in the 100,000-200,000 range. Whereas:

 Neil Ferguson of Imperial College in Britain....
Ferguson had co-written a paper this month estimating 510,000 deaths in England and 2.2 million in the United States — if those countries did not take drastic actions. (numbers cut in half with social distancing)


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on March 30, 2020, 09:08:56 am
So once people DO go back to work, and people do start travelling again, how does this not start right back up? 200K (or less) will die, but what assumptions are made to keep that number from growing to 2.2 million?



Mr. Fauci said he was joined in the meeting by Dr. Deborah L. Birx, the lead coordinator of the White House’s coronavirus task force.

She told reporters on Sunday that even with precautions and restrictions, the government’s model estimated “between 80,000 and 160,000, maybe even potentially 200,000 people, succumbing” to Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.

She added that without any precautionary measures, the same models projected that 1.6 million to 2.2 million Americans could die from complications of the virus.

“Some of them predicted half of the United States would get infected,” she said.

Dr. Birx acknowledged that it was a huge sacrifice for Americans to stay home another month, but she said the measures had “potential to save hundreds of thousands of American lives.”
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on April 25, 2020, 06:43:49 pm
Maryland is very concerning to me....it’s seemingly not flattening...Anyone know if these cases are mainly still in MoCo and PG?

17,666 cases (+1150)
875 deaths (+77)

Virginia
12366 (+772)
436 (+26)

DC
3699 (+171)
165 (+12)

The MD situation means our area is likely to maybe remain in the current stay at home situation through at least June
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on May 01, 2020, 10:16:45 am
MD +1730 cases today
VA +1055


Our region is definitely looking like a hot spot now

:(
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Yada on May 01, 2020, 10:55:54 am
MD +1730 cases today
VA +1055


Our region is definitely looking like a hot spot now

:(

Now?
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on May 01, 2020, 11:07:13 am
Yes now

An area that will soon join NY, NJ, WA, LA, IL, MI

PA also coming up

For it to be a hot spot generally I expect a hundred plus people dying a day

I mean my mom thinks Argentina is a hot spot but they have a total of 200 deaths so far...

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on June 26, 2020, 10:40:56 am
Wow VA and MD seem to be going in different directions


MD 338 new cases 13 new deaths
DC 624 new cases 25 new deaths

(DC trends correlate more with MD as always)

I noticed this trend starting to take shape earlier this week

Without specific VA county data it’s hard to know why... VA is a more Republican state.. I have been in two stores recently where people were not wearing masks...I won’t go back to any stores that don’t enforce mask regulations. Unfortunately for me one incident took place at CD Cellar. Guess I will be saving me some money!
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on June 26, 2020, 11:18:59 am
In VA, the Dems have all the statewide elected positions (governor et al), both halves of the legislature despite heavy historic gerrymandering to their detriment, and both Senators. A GOP member has not won a statewide election in VA since 2009.

I’m hardpressed to agree VA is “more Republican” than MD (a state with a GOP governor). Both are very, very blue in the year 2020.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on June 26, 2020, 11:21:02 am
Ok how about the fact that outside of NOVA, Richmond and VA Beach?


Does that work?
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on June 26, 2020, 11:33:58 am
Ok how about the fact that outside of NOVA, Richmond and VA Beach?


Does that work?
And Charlottesville and Roanoke.

A city/rural divide is how every state works including the most liberal ones of all (eg California). Hagerstown and Cumberland and Ocean City aren’t exactly bastions of liberal thought.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on June 26, 2020, 11:35:23 am
Yeah I didn’t think you would go for it but was worth a shot



(Fall on sword emoji)
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on June 26, 2020, 11:37:37 am
Yeah I didn’t think you would go for it but was worth a shot



(Fall on sword emoji)
ROFL. Appreciate the honesty.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on June 26, 2020, 01:55:17 pm
Wow VA and MD seem to be going in different directions


MD 338 new cases 13 new deaths
DC 624 new cases 25 new deaths

(DC trends correlate more with MD as always)

I noticed this trend starting to take shape earlier this week

Without specific VA county data it’s hard to know why... VA is a more Republican state.. I have been in two stores recently where people were not wearing masks...I won’t go back to any stores that don’t enforce mask regulations. Unfortunately for me one incident took place at CD Cellar. Guess I will be saving me some money!

Did you forget to include the VA data?
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on June 26, 2020, 02:18:55 pm
Oops no ...where it says DC should say VA


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 15, 2020, 10:21:38 am
As Spring turned to summer Virginia made a run at Maryland and should be overtaking it in terms of total covid cases within a week!

Go team!
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 15, 2020, 10:36:09 am
VA population: 8.6 mil
MD population: 6 mil
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 15, 2020, 11:12:50 am
Whatever helps you sleep at night!


You can look at it any way you want...VA, for example, tests less than MD and you know what that means!
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 15, 2020, 11:15:32 am
Whatever helps you sleep at night!
not sure how it helps with my sleep, but a state that has almost 50% more people makes it hard to do comparisons on just a raw number count
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 16, 2020, 11:30:33 am
This was meant as a sarcastic comparison to sporting events...the Fall Classic is the World Series....usually the team with the most runs in a game is considered the winner..or the one who wins the most games

I am not sure I would say VA has responded better than MD or DC. Yes VA has far less deaths so far but MD happened to be closer to the world’s number one covid hub so far...NYC. Also you would need to look at the health of the people of each state going into pandemic..ie preexisting conditions which lead to higher fatalities...in addition Maryland has torched VA on testing...Overall I kind of prefer Maryland’s performance under Hogan to VA under Northam ..Hogan procured tests from a South Korea, he has challenged the Republican President and he just yesterday advised residents to stay in state something every state should be telling its people even if they just want to vacay and party at beach...this covid is serious and people should cut down on their mobility m..good for Hogan



Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 16, 2020, 11:58:11 am
people should cut down on their mobility
I'm doing my part by destroying the tendon in my right ankle!
(https://media1.giphy.com/media/5L2okTiupVRxC/200.gif)
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: kosmo vinyl on July 16, 2020, 12:03:57 pm
With regards to those tests from South Korea, it appears it may have been a stunt...  Seen this info a couple times now

Del. Gabriel Acevero
@GabrielAcevero
Hi, Marylander here 👋🏾

The 500,00 testing kits
@GovLarryHogan
 purchased from SKorea for $9.5M were missing components and were readily available for purchase at a cheaper price right here in the US. It’s called a publicity stunt.


https://twitter.com/GabrielAcevero/status/1283777305710669824?s=20

I've seen rumblings that Hogan wants to run for president and this all grandstanding on his part.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 21, 2020, 10:14:54 am
Virginia making a strong push...trails by less than 200 cases
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 21, 2020, 12:16:36 pm
Virginia making a strong push...trails by less than 200 cases
Looking at the whole state yes
but look at this
https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/key-measures/

Non-Northern VA spikes dramatically
NortherVA...flat since June

that give me hope that in NOVA we are doing it right?
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 21, 2020, 12:37:56 pm
Of course...the more “southern” the more Freedumb


Unfortunately NOVA can’t secede


I wish Arlington could rejoin DC

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 21, 2020, 12:52:57 pm
I wish Arlington could rejoin DC
co-signed!
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on July 21, 2020, 01:47:26 pm
I wish Arlington could rejoin DC
co-signed!
NoVa leaving for a non-State DC is one of the dumbest things Democrats could do for their cause.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 21, 2020, 01:50:59 pm
Boo


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 21, 2020, 01:59:20 pm
I wish Arlington could rejoin DC
co-signed!
NoVa leaving for a non-State DC is one of the dumbest things Democrats could do for their cause.
dude...read the room
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 22, 2020, 10:07:40 am
Thank you Virginia! We take the lead after like three months!!
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 25, 2020, 10:03:10 am
Most new cases -1248- since June 7 in Virginia

Observing what I see out there can’t say I am surprised


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 25, 2020, 10:20:25 am
MD:1288

most new cases since May 9
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on July 27, 2020, 09:37:20 am
1505 new cases in VA...second highest amount since Covid19 pandemic began

Expect a rollback soon in VA
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI on July 27, 2020, 10:19:02 am
1505 new cases in VA...second highest amount since Covid19 pandemic began

Expect a rollback soon in VA
Yep, Northam all but warned it was coming. State is actually doing pretty well (relatively) aside from Hampton Roads which apparently is one giant maskless COVID orgy.
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on July 28, 2020, 08:41:32 pm
State is actually doing pretty well (relatively) aside from Hampton Roads which apparently is one giant maskless COVID orgy.
welp the Guv decided to do something about that
Northam announces new coronavirus restrictions in Hampton Roads (https://www.pilotonline.com/news/health/vp-nw-northam-coronavirus-new-hampton-roads-20200728-5ojxrmivzrfkha37l7ph6mkcoi-story.html)
the region — which has seen a 672% increase in its seven-day moving average of cases since June 9

, saying people under 40 are largely contributing to the increase by frequenting bars and restaurants and gathering for birthday and graduation parties.

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on August 07, 2020, 10:00:58 am
2015 new cases today in Virginia


Not sure what happened...we were averaging about a thousand and previous record in May was about 1600

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on August 07, 2020, 11:07:34 am
2015 new cases today in Virginia


Not sure what happened...we were averaging about a thousand and previous record in May was about 1600

That was a bit of a shocker. I had noticed we had high 700's for Wed and low 800's for Thurs, so was hoping we were decreasing. Three day average of 1200, so perhaps today's total is a correction for Wed and Thurs undercounting.

Still, disappointing.

Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: Space Freely on August 07, 2020, 03:54:24 pm
Sharp Increase in COVID-19 Data for August 7 Due to Data Backlog From Previous Two Days
Today, the Virginia Department of Health (VDH) announced that the COVID-19 data numbers that will be posted on Friday, August 7 will contain a significant increase due to a data backlog from earlier in the week.

Today’s data will indicate 2,015 new cases.  This figure includes information that should have been reported on Wednesday and Thursday of this week as well as the regular numbers for Friday.

Late Thursday, VDH’s Office of Information Management, which helps manage VDH’s COVID-19 databases, identified and rectified the technical issue, which was a system performance configuration.

To follow the number of new cases by day of symptom onset, please refer to the graph, “Number of Cases by Date of Symptom Onset.”

https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/covid-19-daily-dashboard/
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on August 13, 2020, 09:50:06 am
So what are we tracking here...as Virginia is kicking butt when it comes to deaths compared to MD

Deaths by Covid
VA-2352   (pop 8.6 mil)
MD- 3612  (pop 6 mil)
DC- 593    (pop 0.75 mil)

(https://www.keethealth.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/bring-out-your-dead-gif.gif)
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on August 13, 2020, 10:40:16 am
MD +776 cases +8 deaths
VA. +1101cases +11 deaths


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on August 14, 2020, 11:42:14 am
MD 715 new cases
VA 1216 new cases


I actually think overall MD has done a better job


At the beginning medical professionals didn’t quite know how to save people’s lives..treat patients....state’s didn’t know as much regarding controlling the spread

Look at NY! Over 30,000 dead..a way higher % of cases was dying in March


So to just look at those early death numbers and extrapolate that one state did a better job because of a lower %/residents rate seems foolish


If you want to know how your state is doing look at how they have been doing the past two months with the benefit of experience


I mean this is the same stupid argument Trump makes about the US doing better than Italy, Spain, Belgium! Well duh but they went first! We were supposed to learn from them
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on September 15, 2020, 09:20:15 am
Well in the last few weeks we see Virginia pulling away from Maryland

VA is now just about doubling MD in terms of new daily cases

Not sure why but 96 deaths just reported for VA..a rather shocking number

Maybe a backlog due to weekend? Still there have been other weekends and VA never got above 60ish daily deaths
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on September 15, 2020, 09:28:02 am
I hope it’s just a typo
Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: hutch on September 15, 2020, 09:58:13 am
Not a typo..a backlog unclear from when


Title: Re: The Spring Classic 2020 Edition
Post by: ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl on November 01, 2020, 08:52:48 am
So how does this impact the rankings??
Maryland once again renews state of emergency during pandemic/ (https://wtop.com/coronavirus/2020/10/maryland-coronavirus-update-october-30)