Is Newsom in real peril or what? Are these polls of the "scare Dems into showing up" variety or is this actually close? Starting to feel like an error to throw no Democratic candidate out there on the Recall side (of course, that went south with Bustamante).
So many unknowns here, but yes, legit possibility.
His polls are worsening, people's frustration around schooling, masks, the spread of the Delta variant, vaccine requirements, etc all make for an impossible polling situation here. Should wildfire season start early, he could be in big trouble because the only way to prevent the wildfires is PSPS (Public Safety Power Shutoffs) and that just pisses everyone off, even though the Governor has nothing to do with that.
His one big hope is that we are continuing our mail-in ballots so that does benefit him as turnout would be much lower if it were in person, and only the really motivated would show up at the polls. At this point I think he squeaks it out but so much can happen between now and Sept 14.
The one thing I hope we do fix in this state is that we make it much harder to recall an elected official. It is WAY too easy to get this on the ballot.
