I'm kinda stumped, kinda shook. My grand Rubio theory was torpedoed at that last debate. I mean, he just got sat on and farted upon by a giggling, ass-wiggling Christie. Just imagine Marco Rubio's face all up in Chris' buffalo butt and Chris is all
So Marco Polo's momentum has been slowed. This benefits Trump because the previous Rubio-with-wind-at-his-back might appeal to a few of the Trumpers who, in a moment of weird and rare clarity, realize "Oh right, I'm not clinically brain dead" and vote for the Not-Trump Who Actually Has A Shot. But now that Rubio has been weakened, the wavering Trumper is less likely to be rational and instead will take out his cock and press the Trump button with it.
Christie gets a slight bump, but just as his attacks on Rubio resonated with people because they confirmed the overall narrative on Marco, it also solidified the fact that most people think Christie is a fat dick. I mean, there's value to his whole "Are you fucking kidding me here?!?" persona, but I think that turns a lot of people off. He limps out out of there in 5th or 6th place and is out of the race by the end of February.
Kasich could do well here. He's still enshrouded in that loser stink of single digit national polls, but he keeps making the most of his opportunities to remind people that not all the GOP candidates are Yosemite Sam. He's by far the GOP candidate I could live with the most, as he is conservative but understands the priority is getting things done. He'd do a lot of shitty shit but I don't think his administration would be as bad as, say, Cruz's Scorched Earth White House.
Bush has about as much momentum as a guy that looks like this could have:
i.e. a nice, modest amount. Only his money is keeping him afloat right now.
So I'd have to guess that the final results are something like this:
Trump 35
Rubio 15
Kasich 13
Cruz 12
Christie 8
Bush 5
Carson and Fiorina lol
I'm not doing the math on that.