2020 Election Game

[Julian, Bespoke SEXPERT]

The formal WI calls are coming in.

[vansmack]

Speaking of GA:  "An estimated 200,000 votes remain uncounted in Georgia, officials say — that’s more than double Trump’s current margin over Biden in the state.  Of the 200,000 uncounted votes in Georgia, most come from left-leaning areas of metropolitan Atlanta, suggesting they’re likely to skew Democratic." Stephanie Saul

Currently, 83,000 votes apart. 

If Biden continues to get 75% of the mail-in vote:

Biden: 2,457,070
Trump: 2,440,172

If he" only" gets 70%:

Trump: 2,450,172
Biden: 2,447,070

So longshot, but possible.

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

Looks like it's down to ME2 between Heilung and Challanged (and sorta Smakadoodle)

No, they beat me to it and deserve it.  I was just agreeing that it was looking like they would be right.  GA wouldn't change this, right?  That's the only one I may have gotten wrong.

Hutch was the only one with Biden in GA, but he But he got OH wrong ...jury is out on NC

[hutch]

I also got FL wrong


And Maine-2


I am more than happy to lose with Biden winning

[vansmack]

Trump will request a recount for sure.  He won in 2016 by 22,748.

RECOUNT RULES FOR WI:  The margin needs to be less than 1 percent for a recount in Wisconsin. Trump will have to pay about $3 million for it unless the margin is less than one quarter of 1 percent (per Reid Epstein)

Jim Acosta reports that the Trump campaign has given up on the Wisconsin recount.

(have to save up for winnable legal attacks and 20K+ in WI is not winnable.  Probably move resources to PA, GA, NV, and AZ)

[vansmack]

Speaking of GA:  "An estimated 200,000 votes remain uncounted in Georgia, officials say — that’s more than double Trump’s current margin over Biden in the state.  Of the 200,000 uncounted votes in Georgia, most come from left-leaning areas of metropolitan Atlanta, suggesting they’re likely to skew Democratic." Stephanie Saul

Currently, 83,000 votes apart. 

If Biden continues to get 75% of the mail-in vote:

Biden: 2,457,070
Trump: 2,440,172

If he" only" gets 70%:

Trump: 2,450,172
Biden: 2,447,070

So longshot, but possible.

If Biden gets 65% of the remaining vote in GA, he wins by 1,581.  He's been getting closer to 68-70% of the mail in ballots.  62% or below he loses, narrowly.

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

GA would be nice, but not necessary...but nailbiter no less

[vansmack]

GA would be nice, but not necessary...but nailbiter no less

You want the Senate?  Your best chance is to have a motivated electorate for the runoffs, not another disenfranchised electorate who think their vote doesn't make a difference. 

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

GA would be nice, but not necessary...but nailbiter no less

You want the Senate?  Your best chance is to have a motivated electorate for the runoffs, not another disenfranchised electorate who think their vote doesn't make a difference.

Ok...I'll buy that.

[Julian, Bespoke SEXPERT]

Joe Biden being President is going to enrage the 49.8-50.2% of Georgia voters who voted for Trump that they are going to turn out in such numbers for that special election that I do not seriously give either Ossoff or Warnock any chance in a special. Also the mere lack of a Presidential election at the top of the ticket is going to depress Democratic turnout.

[hutch]

Yeah...I don’t think we have a prayer

[grateful]

Yeah...I don’t think we have a prayer

Oh there is prayer. Its just that its ineffective.

[hutch]

That too


We don’t stand a chance and I bet we waste $300 million or something on it

[hutch]

NC called for Trump
GA and AZ called for Biden


Ok so who won?

[hutch]

FL - Trump
GA - Trump
NC - Trump
PA - Biden
MI - Biden
WI - Biden
MN - Biden
AZ - Biden
NV - Biden
IA - Trump
OH - Trump
NH - Biden
Tiebreaker: Maine 2nd - Trump

Is this the winning entry?