Nostradamus 2020 election edition

[StoneTheCrow]

1. % of eligible voters that will vote... 65%

What was I thinking?

[hutch]

So it was 55% in 2016


65% seems like a decent guess, right?

[Julian, Bespoke SEXPERT]

65% seems like a decent guess, right?

We might blow right by that, honestly.

[StoneTheCrow]

Hope we do. Won’t be surprised if we don’t.

Americans seem to disappoint pretty regularly.

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

So it was 55% in 2016


65% seems like a decent guess, right?

the eligible voter turnout rate
2016: Donald Trump v Hillary Clinton (60.1%)

What numbers are you using?
Are you going with voting age population... as that is flawed

[hutch]

Come on dude give it a rest


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election


Turnout 55.7%


I don’t want to get into a debate about this

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

I don’t want to get into a debate about this

Who do you think you are... Perdue?

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

Americans seem to disappoint pretty regularly.

I'm not sure what's the number for 'non-counted' at this point
but seeing 135 million counted...sounding like it's going to be a shitty turnout

Was it suppression or lack of enthusiasm?

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

The running total is at 138.5 Mill on some news sites

but then I found thing
The voting-eligible population in the U.S. ahead of the November 3 election was just over 239 million people, according to the U.S. Elections Project, with 160 million people having voted, making 2020 turnout a predicted 66.9 percent.
Election 2020 Voter Turnout 'at 67 Percent', Highest in 120 Years
I've not been able to find other sources for this 160 #
(they used the VEP # too.)

Hutch may have the # right

Turnout: 160 million

[hutch]

I read this morning that there are 23 million votes still to be counted


We just have to wait and count votes

What matters is Biden is going to most likely win once all votes are counted



If one guy doesn’t want votes counted kind of tells you all you need to know

[Julian, Bespoke SEXPERT]

Biden 321-217

Biden: MI, WI, MN, PA, NC, GA, AZ, NV, NE2
Trump: TX, OH, IA, FL, ME2

Other than Charlotte/Raleigh/Asheville's valiant efforts to flip NC falling short, this is shaping up correct.

I did not see the absolute bloodbath in the House and state delegation races coming though -- an issue we as Dems need to discuss in a week or two when Presidential madness dies down.

[hutch]

I am all ears as to who should be proclaimed the winner...

My own view is predicting the electoral college breakdown is the ultimate test..whoever came closest has a strong argument

We don’t know final breakdown yet but 306-232 seems likeliest..

I am all ears.. but if that is split seems like Smackie might be winner but prize defaults to Julian/Sidehatch as Smackie doesn’t like vinyl?

So once dust settles let me know

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

ack...didn't see that you already declared him the winner
Tied for second makes me feel good after my FL prediction

[Julian, Bespoke SEXPERT]

I will concede any claim I have to victory because Smackie winning physical media is the greatest collective victory we call can have.

[hutch]

ack...didn't see that you already declared him the winner
Tied for second makes me feel good after my FL prediction

I am not declaring anyone the winner

Just look at the entries once the dust settles and you guys tell me