Dang, that's tough. First thing I thought was "Blonde Redhead = Winner" but that's because I just kinda got into them in the last year with "23", which is awesome. But Islands... ugh, they're like the Stone Temple Pilots in the 90s or L.A. Guns in the 80s.
Place to Bury Strangers is a winner but haven't you seen them already?
Deerhoof, DP and A/F would probably be my pick.
MMJ at MSJ. Ugh, I pretty much hate MMJ now. I had it in my mind that Wilco was opening, but they're opening for Neil Young's MSG show.