Originally posted by callat703:
You keep bringing up the fact that the general is going to be more difficult. But if Clinton can't sink Obama, what makes you think she can sink McCain?
Clinton cannot go "as hard" on Obama as a Republican can for fear of "fracturing the party." They may make occasional rough statements at each other but they're always tempered with hugs and kisses afterwards, whereas McCain will go hard on Obama for 4+ months straight.
In the general election, I think most people have set opinions on McCain and Clinton because they've been in the public eye for so long. If you look, they poll similarly (I think Clinton would lead 46-45 nationally in the most recent poll I saw). Obama is more up in the air. Many are intrigued by him, but not as set in their opinion and I think the Obama Afterglow will wear off when McCain and the RNC trashes for months straight as weak on defense and inexperienced. I see a sea change among "independants" to McCain like we saw them go for Bush the last few.
Against Clinton, McCain can go as hard as he wants but he's probably preaching to the choir. In a McCain/Clinton national race, 45% are set for McCain no matter what, 45% are set for Hillary no matter what, and the other ten percent are in flux. The attacks on Clinton are actually a little ineffective in that all the people who hate Hillary are voting McCain already, regardless of democratic nominee.
A Clinton/Richardson or Clinton/Obama ticket can win the majority of those 10% (who have heard about Hillary for years and are still undecided) over while doing a great get-out-the-vote campaign among minorities and women. I know alot of people hate Hillary but she does poll well against a Republican among real undecided's and independent's.