I think the GOP is doomed in a national election...primaries really mean nothing
little hyperbole there
primaries mean nothing? ha hah a.... it means nothing who the nominees are?
I should have stated it's really early, he has had a sustained lead, but Bachman, Perry and Cain were all leading the polls too
It is a big field with a lot of poor choices, so fertile soil for trump. But I still don't think he'll make it past super tuesday
A lot could happen in 1 month
He has had quite the sustained lead
Monday, February 1 Iowa caucus
Tuesday, February 9 New Hampshire
Saturday, February 20-27 Nevada /South Carolina
can anyone tell me why having all the primaries on one day would be a bad thing?
these examples of cain, bachman and Perry are terrible... cain led for like for 2 weeks WAY earlier in the process... bachman led in IOWA like six months before Iowa voted... I think Perry led BEFORE he entered the race or maybe for a week or two right after Bachman.. then he opened his mouth and said "oops".. it is true that Gingrich had a moment in the sun once the primaries started ....a great example of what you are saying is Howard Dean in 2004 who was creaming the field before Iowa, lost iowa to Kerry (horrible candidate), had his SCREAM and was toast....it all happened so quickly...
Trump could implode but he has led since he joined the race like five months ago.. you can't compare that to the other fly by night leaders from recent memory... of course Trump could easily lose Iowa to Cruz and then fall in NH.. of course somebody else can win the Republican nomination..
obviously anything can happen...
I think all I was saying was that Trump has an uncanny ability to cut through all the political BS candidates say and say what the people being polled want to hear...that is a huge asset! to be able to read what the people want to hear even when the entire establishment/media/conventional wisdom says its crazy and that if you say it you are done.... FOUR times now he has made rather unconventional statements that have been very effective... we can definitely call him a demagogue but I think he is demonstrating some signs of being a good politician.... its all too easy to say he is a nut and the Republicans are all bonkers but I think that is a little simplistic..(not saying you said that)... I also think that people discounting Trump entirely are missing the point that in a general he would be better positioned to pivot to the center than many other Republicans because he has quite the record of being fairly moderate/liberal on social issues...
big field with a lot of poor choices? I would argue this is the best Republican field ever.... the fact people don't like Jeb Bush or Rick Perry or Walker or any of these people doesn't take away from their experience etc....again, I would not vote for them but a weak field would be the democratic field!!
wholeheartedly agree we should have a national primary.. also, everyone should be automatically registered to vote AND the day of a presidential election should be on a weekend or people should get a day off...
