Its labor day or the so called official beginning of the election... we are 63 days out from election day with early voting starting soon in some localities... the first debate is about three weeks away..
I agree with the AP.. this is the way it looks to me today:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/ap-rates-presidential-race-road-270-061152169.htmlthe key wouldn't you know it is HRC holding strong in VA... combined with the democrats looking strong -as would be expected- in PA, MI, WI that really frees her up and puts DJT on his heels....DJT really needs a big change to happen in order to make a run in VA, something I consider next to impossible, or otherwise flip PA, also in my opinion next to impossible, or barring that sweep virtually everything else....
The only advantage I can see for DJT is that a 269-269 tie would go to the house and result in a DJT presidency.... if it were to go to the Senate I am not so sure but that is not the way the founding fathers intended it...
Given Hillary's own serious problems I see no chance of the House flipping and even little chance for the Senate to flip although the Senate will be close..my bullishness has moderated over the past three weeks.... My advice to Democrats is to focus on the White House.
In more good news for HRC at the moment it seems unlikely that Gary Johnson will make the debates... she also had a great great fundraising month in August.. maybe the best month ever in a presidential campaign .. her and other groups supporting her raised close to $150 million... she has a lot of resources...
Gun violence, shootings of defenseless black people, shootings of cops and even terrorist attacks have all thankfully moderated in the past few weeks... if this holds up, and there are good reasons to worry it won't, this will be another advantage for HRC.. the economy while not wowing people continues to hold up with low but steady economic growth.... President Obama's approval rating seems to be high.... and while HRC is not trusted by a majority of the American people another majority of the American people, a larger and more important one, considers Trump unstable/unqualified for the presidency....
so all in all continued reasons to be cautiously optimistic...