so if we want the senate, are we all sending money into Warnock's run off
is it only one month this time?
I think it'll be 50-49 for the Dems going into the runoff at this point.
oh so save my money and dump into TSLA
wrong take: we need Warnock to win, so Dems have a one-vote majority, AKA they can afford to lose a vote and still pass things (on votes that only require 50). this would allow the Dems to occasionally tell Manchin to sit down and shut up.
Nate Silver is saying his current best guess is GOP 220-Dems 215. While I never want to see the Dems lose the house, trying to see the GOP form a quorum will be hilarious if that's the margin.
i think that would be a scary situation: just like the entire Dem caucus had to kowtow to Manchin every time he wanted to extract concessions; the fringe elements of the GOP -
MTG and the like - suddenly become kingmakers. in his desperation to get the gavel, mccarthy is likely willing to give whatever those folks want in exchange for their support. i don't want to see MGT on, say, the judiciary committee... but she could demand it if her vote is important enough. on the flip side, given their penchant for disorganization and self-centeredness, a house with a slim GOP majority will likely devolve into a shit-show that goes nowhere more often than not.
