Author Topic: 2022 - dems in disarray thread  (Read 84350 times)

Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #300 on: November 12, 2022, 07:56:20 pm »
Is there any validity to this?

Second highest youth turnout since 72

And 2018 was the highest

 So far, the highest turnout during a midterm for this voting bloc is 2018 when about 31%
« Last Edit: November 12, 2022, 08:53:24 pm by Salad-Hatch. ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl »
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Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #301 on: November 12, 2022, 09:09:16 pm »
I’m calling it after that last Maricopa drop: Hobbs has won AZ Governor.
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #302 on: November 12, 2022, 10:23:56 pm »
Nevada and senate as a whole called for Dems by networks
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #303 on: November 12, 2022, 10:40:43 pm »
WA3 is being called the biggest dem upset in the house Marie Gluesenkamp Perez was given a 2% chance of winning

Apparently her opponent was crazy and Tulsi G. was all in for him
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #304 on: November 13, 2022, 12:23:23 pm »
Man it must suck to be a Republican right now….it just gets worse for them everyday

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #305 on: November 13, 2022, 02:06:11 pm »
I do not think the Dems will hold the house but there’s a legit 20-25% chance they still could. The gOP margin will be like 3-4 seats. Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.
LVMH

Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #306 on: November 13, 2022, 08:29:19 pm »
While I liked both of these
appealed to those who were already inclined to vote d to begin with, so little impact overall

 

@pamkeithfl

Give credit where it’s due.

Biden did a great job, and the last minute outreach to young voters with debt relief and cannabis EO made all the difference.


Also, I’m actually now feeling sour on the youth vote
We set the bar so freaking low sometimes
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #307 on: November 13, 2022, 09:19:23 pm »
Oregon’s 6th
We keep picking up toss up seats

Quite a photo finish here
 
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Starsky

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #308 on: November 13, 2022, 10:11:29 pm »
we lost a couple of seats we needed..based on Wasserman’s tweets we are looking at a likely 5-9 seat Republican majority

Obviously this is an incredible accomplishment for democrats given people’s predictions….
« Last Edit: November 13, 2022, 10:17:42 pm by Starsky »

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #309 on: November 14, 2022, 10:33:26 pm »
NYT: HOBBS BEATS LAKE IN AZ

can't wait for the fallout on this one... i sincerely hope lake goes full trump.  let's put this shit on display.
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Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #310 on: November 15, 2022, 11:27:43 am »
NYT: HOBBS BEATS LAKE IN AZ

can't wait for the fallout on this one... i sincerely hope lake goes full trump.  let's put this shit on display.
NYT running days behind Julian, what else is new?
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vansmack

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #311 on: November 15, 2022, 02:14:06 pm »
Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.

Really?  How an independent commission made up of citizens outside of any control of elected officials could get any blame is the stuff I expect hear from the right.  Not you.  CA lost a seat after the census and it was always going to hurt the Dems.
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #312 on: November 15, 2022, 02:20:47 pm »
I must say, that this thread header was written because I'd accepted that Dems would totally screw this mid-term up

but as it usually goes, One should bet the opposite of what Sidehatch says and you'll likely do better

Well done, team blue.

 I think the emboldened fringe of the GQP is going to make it really hard for them to do as much damage if we'd lost 30-40 seats
Marge and KrewKrazy will have demands and they will hold the party hostage to get those demands

Still likely going to be talking Hunter's Laptop and a possible impeachment (on what exactly?)

may not have as many debt ceiling fights?  who knows
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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #313 on: November 15, 2022, 02:23:19 pm »
Had the Dems not screwed the redistricting pooch in NY (and to a lesser extent CA), they’d have held it for sure.

Really?  How an independent commission made up of citizens outside of any control of elected officials could get any blame is the stuff I expect hear from the right.  Not you.  CA lost a seat after the census and it was always going to hurt the Dems.
Hmm, interesting
I've read very little about this and have only heard Jules and his mudslinging at NY
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vansmack

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Re: 2022 - dems in disarray thread
« Reply #314 on: November 15, 2022, 02:26:32 pm »
Jules and his mudslinging at NY

NY is different.  That is not independent despite its description.  An "independent commission" draws the maps in NY but they need approval by the two NY State houses, and can be redrawn, changed and rejected if they don't like them.
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