look at the polls, look at public rhetoric... i also think that biden will eek this one out, again, but it's certainly not guaranteed.
example of what could derail ol' joe: gas prices are starting to edge upwards. if we go back to a national average above $4/gal, you're going to have millions who won't be able to focus on anything else and will want an alternative, any alternative. it's among the stupidest thing about the american electorate, IMO: they'll elect satan if it'll save them $40/month at the pump.
there's also the health variable. if biden has a heart attack, seizure, etc - doesn't have to take him out completely, just put him in the hospital for a few days - i really fear that would punch trump's ticket. voters will seriously doubt his ability to finish his term, and kamala isn't a desired alternative by many.
TAN: i wonder how seriously the biden campaign contemplated picking a different VP candidate for round 2...