The 2020 thread....

[sweetcell]

What do you all make of the "take" that we should stop viewing this as a 9-10% polling lead for Biden; its a 5% polling lead in Pennsylvania, the "Plan A" tipping point state for him, and he really doesn't have a "Plan B" on the board if he loses Pennsylvania? He has like 4 "Plan Cs" (Arizona, Florida, NC, Georgia) but he leads in none of them by more than 2% in polling averages.

this analysis paints a rosier picture: The 3 most likely paths to victory for Biden and Trump, in maps

[hutch]

Some of the states look worrying.... Arizona...Pennsylvania... it doesn’t help when you have polling outfits like Rasmussen out there..in Arizona they went from having Biden up 1 ten days ago to Trump up by four today...


But at this point just everybody vote and get everybody out to vote

The crazy thing is in some states more than half of people have already voted...how do pollsters handle this?

[ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

this is an interesting stat
Out of 80 million+ votes cast so far in this election, 17.5 million+ were people who DIDN'T VOTE in 2016.

Methinks that is good for joe...but one neva knows until the final count


Ugh...and this is how our dear leader thinks of a majority of Americans

[hutch]

I repeat: anyone knows how polls handle people who have already voted?


It’s fair to say more than half have already voted... more than half the election is over..in some key states way more...

[ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

This is good shit....

https://twitter.com/JoshuaHol/status/1321657199375065093?s=20

I saw that this morning and holy fucking shit. Gotta give Perdue credit: doesn't even flinch. My dream scenario is GA voting Biden/Ossoff/Warnock on Tuesday. So much of the trash wing of my family moved down there and they're huge Trump people and that would just about kill my trashass uncle Larry.

BREAKING: Sen. Perdue cancels the final debate against @ossoff because, you know, he was categorically destroyed last night and is still licking his wounds.

also the boss weighs in
"There’s no art in this White House. There’s no literature, no poetry, no music. There are no pets in this White House: no loyal man’s best friend, no Socks, the family cat," Bruce Springsteen said.

and just fucking shit up on the way out
Trump administration ends protections for iconic gray wolf

I'm terrified of the destructive power of a really lame duck

and in sad but true news mail-in ballot signatures will be 2020’s hanging chad.

and  Sarah Cooper ..the best in 2020...does the access tape with HELEN MIRREN~!, ya know because Loffler hadn't heard about it yet
https://twitter.com/sarahcpr/status/1321919554621231105?s=2

[hutch]

I definitely have worries and concerns about Biden’s laid back schedule


I know it’s crazy to hold rallies. But there is a big contrast between Trump doing like 50 rallies this last week and Biden’s schedule

It shouldn’t matter.. there should be no rallies... rallies are madness...but Trump’s entire message is he is strong and a fighter and asshole... letting him hammer home the contrast is a dangerous play... but the die seems cast


I hope the Biden camp knows what they are doing

[hutch]

This guy seems to know what he is doing


https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict

[Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI]

This guy seems to know what he is doing


https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict

One of the best follows on Twitter.

[kosmo vinyl]

Do you think undecided voters are showing up at either one of their rallies? Is an undecided voter really want to hear Trump spew lies?  Trump rallies are attended by the devoted who drive hours to attend them and then spread the rona..

My only worry is that when the hopeful landslide occurs,  they don’t try to use the Biden’s “low turnout” events as indication that voter fraud has occurred

[kosmo vinyl]

Oh and that faux news host whose package went missing and was later found,  did a 180 on Hunter last night...I guess when you find out the dossier was put together by a fake company and person you change your tune... and can we start a gofund me to create a walled in location cut off from the world   to stash trump and his spawn? Clearly they are the only ones who will ever visit the library

[ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

My only worry is that when the hopeful landslide occurs,  they don’t try to use the Biden’s “low turnout” events as indication that voter fraud has occurred

They will try anything, I know the Trump team monitors this board... so thanks for helping out the enemy Koz.

[ye-ole-hatch ıll|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/523509-california-governor-preparing-state-for-civil-unrest-following-election

This make sense, but this is terrifying

[hutch]

I feel like Trump rallies get amplified way beyond attendants...by the local papers, TV coverage, radio etc


It’s like when the Stones or Floyd played your town in the 90s...you didn’t have to be there at show to read about it in paper or hear about it and the local TV stations sent a crew down to cover it.. it became a thing “wow Floyd was in our town last night!”

It’s like hey he is visiting our state..he is fighting for our vote... he really wants our vote... you don’t have to be there to feel that

[hutch]

More people have now voted in Texas than did so in the 2016 general election.

Election Day is this coming Tuesday.

[Julian, Forum COGNOSCENTI]

For those of us obsessively checking 538's Forecast multiple times a day, they're odds off a Trump victory has dropped from 13 to 10 in the last 48 hours. If it gets to single digits, I may take off my pants and run around.