I really don’t understand how 538 is so rosy
Maybe I need to spend more time there
What I see is a narrowing lead in the swing states that is pretty much within the MOE everywhere except WI and MI.
I think the correct reading is this election is really tight. And with unusually high turnout and early voting my confidence in polls is kind of shot.
I mean it’s ballsy to read the data and see Biden can lose PA (possible) and FL (probable) and win.
Maybe I am just overthinking it