On the other hand we also know Trump thought he was behind in 2016.....and he was until Comey...the difference is not that many people were early voting in 2016...that makes it more difficult to turn it around
I'm still worried for October surprises...I'm thinking of race war/terror attack
I kind of thought the vaccine/cure was going to be it, but at this point, not enough time
What doesn't look good is basically the major spike in Covid cases is a Red state map...MAGA's with family/neighbors are going to be greatly impacted, unlike in the Spring when it hit the Blue states hard
That will have to have an impact on support in those areas...we really only need 1% swing in some states
in 2016...people were not excited and thought Hil was a shoe-in
additionally, there were TONS of undecided and third-party candidates that were getting tons of support in those key states
the microtargetng in 2016 was also very effective
I just don't think with the increased turnout that trump can pull this off
I heard · Mike Madrid say that it's possible 160 million votes could be cast in 2020 (137 were in 2016)
if that actually happens, there is zero chance that trump can pull off an EC win
