How does this thread drop off the first page?
Anyway, hope this guy from MIT is right.
https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/By: Youyang Gu
Last Updated: January 26, 2021 (First posted December 9, 2020; CDC plots updated daily)
With the availability of the COVID-19 vaccine, we present our best estimate of the path to COVID-19 herd immunity in the United States. Herd immunity will be reached through immunity from two sources: vaccination and natural infection. On this page, we provide the latest COVID-19 vaccine projections and current vaccination progress.
January 26 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that over 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, more than double the administratoin’s original “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a complete “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).
