The 2020 thread....

[hutch]

They are ALL running.....so far

[Space Freely]

Cory throws his hat in the ring

Won't be nominated.

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

Cory throws his hat in the ring

Won't be nominated.

please explain?

[vansmack]

eh, i'm not sure of that.  there is a solid segement of the voting population - around a third of the electorate - that will indeed support trump no matter what he does (including shooting someone on 5th ave).  but between that third and the 50'ish% that he needs to get elected again - that's the segment that is vulnerable. (reminder: trump won 2016 with 46.1%, so if 1/3 is correct then he needs to muster another ~13%).

It's about 40% in the states that matter that are a solid base for Trump, given his consistent polling there.  It's much less arduous a task than you are giving credit.   

it's all about timing, say Hil went up against Mitt or McCain...I think she would have won

I think you grossly underestimate how much voters from both parties disliked Hillary Clinton.

[hutch]

Only a couple of years before the election Hillary was the most popular politician in America...sure, after she was taken down by Republicans on Benghazi and the EMAILS and Bernie she was extremely unpopular

So you are correct...she was unpopular but she beat Trump by 3 million votes...

[hutch]

As far as Trump chances if the economy averages 250k job growth a month for the next 20 months and wages continue to grow I have to think he will be re-elected no matter how ridiculous and objectionable people may find him....

[Space Freely]

Cory throws his hat in the ring

Won't be nominated.

please explain?

What is there to explain? He won't be the pick.

[hutch]

Ugh...maybe like WHY do you think Cory Booker won’t be the pick?!?!

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

As far as Trump chances if the economy averages 250k job growth a month for the next 20 months and wages continue to grow I have to think he will be re-elected no matter how ridiculous and objectionable people may find him....

I don't think this will be sustainable...the wheels are starting to come off on this stuff
the shutdown and trade wars could spell disaster for 2019

but I have a feeling we'll be going to war with Venezuela or Mexico by then
so all cards are off the table when predicting the future with trump

I do hope kush or princess trump or DTII get indicted...
my feeling is he doesn't care about any of his close business partners (price of doing business with a crook)
...but if they touch his kids, I think he'll go apeshhit and things will go a little bonkers


This is good news for the dems....
2020 electorate will be least white, most diverse ever
Young voters and immigrants are set to boost Hispanic and Asian share of the voting population in the next presidential contest.

[ggw]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-06/warren-called-herself-american-indian-on-1986-bar-registration

[hutch]

The horror



Geez imagine Trump using this against her in the general....he will eat her alive

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

it's sad that her chances at 2020 will be brought down by this
she's toast...
this is an argument that starting the 2020 primaries 2 years ahead is a bad idea

[Space Freely]

it's sad that her chances at 2020 will be brought down by this
she's toast...
this is an argument that starting the 2020 primaries 2 years ahead is a bad idea

Not sad. The sooner she's gone the better. Hillary 2.0 in terms of personality. No way blue collar white men or women from swing states vote for her.

[Dejecty-hatch lııllı|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|̲̅̅=̲̅̅|̲̅̅●̲̅̅|llıl]

TBH ...I think she was better running mate material, not anymore

[Space Freely]

TBH ...I think she was better running mate material, not anymore

Whose ticket would she add anything to as a running mate? She wouldn't help with the swing state voters like Klobuchar or Brown. She wouldn't help with turning out the minority vote like Harris, Booker, or Castro. She might help turning out a few senior women with men's haircuts, pun maybe slightly intended but please don't take it as homophobia. That's about it.

Since she's from Massachusetts and thus easily replaced by anyone liberal with a pulse, she'd be useful as a Secretary of Something.